The Buffalo Bills (12-3) play the New England Patriots (8-8) on Sunday at Highmark Stadium. Going into this AFC East matchup, the New England Patriots sit second in the division with eight wins from 16 matches, four games behind the first-place Buffalo Bills. In the wake of Monday’s tragedy involving Damar Hamlin, the Buffalo Bills will try to resume business against the New England Patriots by continuing their quest for home-field advantage in the AFC.
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots Betting lines
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots Betting expert picks
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots Moneyline
The Buffalo Bills are riding a six-game winning streak heading into this Week 18 matchup. The hosts are 12-3 for the season and 6-1 at home. On the other hand, a New England Patriots win is priced at +275, with the visitors 4-4 on the road and 8-8 overall for this season.
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots Spread
The last five contests between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots have posted an average winning margin of up to 17.8 points.
The Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home. The hosts are also 5-4 ATS in the past nine games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
Over the past 12 games against AFC East opponents, the New England Patriots went 5-7 ATS. Their offense averaged 20.3 points per game during that span, and the defense gave up 20.3 points on average. The visitors are 4-4-1 ATS from their nine most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots Total
The last ten head-to-head games saw an average of 40.2 points. Based on this stat alone, the total may end somewhere between 40 and 45 points when the New England Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills.
The current total on the Week 18 betting line for this matchup is 42.5 points, which is under the 44.6 points average seen in the past five rounds the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots have played out, but not by much either.
When betting on the total in Buffalo Bills games, consider that each of their last two matches went over. Meanwhile, betting on the over would’ve paid out as a winning bet in the last three games at the Highmark Stadium for the Buffalo Bills, who are 4-6 in their last ten home and away matches combined.
In the New England Patriots’ most recent AFC East matchups on the road, the score ended up 2-4 against the total and averaged 40.3 points. Over was a winning bet three times in the past five road games for the New England Patriots, who are 4-6 against the total in their last ten home and away games combined.
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots Betting trends
- Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home.
- New England Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.
- Buffalo Bills won the last three H2H games against New England Patriots
NFL Power Rankings Week 18 2022, Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills Form
The Buffalo Bills have proven to be a force to be reckoned with at the Highmark Stadium, winning five out of their last five home games. Their most recent outing ended in victory against the Chicago Bears, with a final score of 35-13.
Playing at the Highmark Stadium brings out the best in the Buffalo Bills. They have the fifth-best home offensive record, averaging 31.3 points per game with home-field advantage and 28.0 points for all 15 of their regular season games. Defensively, the hosts have the best unit of all 32 teams, allowing just 17.5 points on average and 17.7 points on their own ground.
The Buffalo Bills have clinched a playoff berth after winning their division. The AFC East champions now aim to improve their second seed in the AFC Conference going into the final week of the regular season.
New England Patriots Form
The New England Patriots ended a two-game losing streak last time out by beating the Miami Dolphins 23-21. The victory improved their record from the past ten games to 5-5. They are also 3-2 in the last five on the road.
The New England Patriots’ offense has been in a slump this season; from ranking sixth in the league last year with 26.6 points per game, it has only put up 21.3 points in the current one. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have the sixth-best unit in football, allowing just 19.5 points on average and 21.1 points on the road.
Despite going 8-8 in the regular season so far, the New England Patriots can still clinch a playoff berth in their final game as they hold the seventh and final seed in the AFC Conference.
Buffalo Bills VS New England Patriots H2H history
The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 10-24 in their previous matchup at the Gillette Stadium on December 2022. Both teams have failed to claim the upper hand in this series in recent years, having claimed five wins apiece from their previous ten matchups
The Buffalo Bills tallied 22.1 points on average per game from their ten most recent head-to-head games against the New England Patriots. The latter managed an average of 18.1 points in comparison.