The Baltimore Ravens (9-5) play the Atlanta Falcons (5-9) at M&T Bank Stadium on 24th December in Week 16 of the NFL. Having won nine of their 14 games, the Baltimore Ravens are in second place in the AFC North and have collected four more wins than the Falcons, who are fourth in the NFC South ahead of this matchup. The Ravens enter the second half of the regular season with a playoff spot in their sights and a chance to prove themselves against the Falcons, who won’t be going anywhere as things stand.
Ravens VS Falcons Betting lines
Ravens VS Falcons Betting expert picks
Ravens VS Falcons Moneyline
Picking the Ravens is a no-brainer in our eyes. The oddsmakers rate their chances of success on Saturday at 76%, and given their decent run of form at home, it’s easy to see why. The 9-5 hosts have won four of their last five matches at the M&T Bank Stadium, leaving their home record for the season at 4-2 SU. On the other side, the Falcons are the +250 underdogs. Given their record against AFC North teams, this might not be a surprise. After all, the visitors have been on the wrong side of the scoreboard eight times in their last 11 matchups.
Ravens VS Falcons Spread
The Ravens are the -7.0 point favorites over the Falcons in the Week 16 betting lines. This leaves the hosts favored to take the win by more than a touchdown on Saturday. A winning margin as high as 10.2 points has settled the last five matches between the Ravens and Falcons.
The Ravens went 3-7 ATS in their last ten games against NFC South teams. The offense put up 16.9 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 21.6 points. Taking the Ravens against the spread has been a bad call in recent weeks. They’ve failed to cover in four of their last five home matches and are a dismal 3-7 ATS in the past ten outings overall.
The past four visits to the M&T Bank Stadium have seen the Falcons end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard three times, with an average losing margin of 13.3 points. In their last 10 matches, the Falcons went 4-6 ATS and also ended up 5-4 ATS from their nine most recent road trips.
Ravens VS Falcons Total
The points total in matches between the Ravens and Atlanta Falcons tends to sway to the lower side, as they have averaged 35.5 points in their last ten meetings.
The M&T Bank Stadium was the venue in four of these ten meetings. The scoreboard averaged 34.75 points, going over the total one time. For this current matchup in Week 16, the total is set at 40.0 points.
The total line has gone under in each of the three most recent matches the Ravens have played out. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Ravens, the total didn’t go over even once. They are 3-7 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
The total went under in the last three matches for the Falcons, who have an average total of 45.6 points across their 14 games for this season. Going on the road doesn’t always seem to produce the expected number of points for the Falcons, as the total has gone under in seven of the past ten matchups away from home.
Ravens VS Falcons Betting trends
- Ravens have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
- In five of the Ravens’ last six games the total went under
- Falcons point score went under in their last three games
NFL Power Rankings Week 16 2022, Ravens VS Falcons
Baltimore Ravens Form
The Ravens slipped to 9-5 for the season last week after falling to a 13-3 defeat against the Cleveland Browns. They are 7-3 across their ten most recent games and 4-1 in the past five at home.
The Ravens’ offense is pretty average compared to the other NFL offenses, having put up 21.7 points per game this season. On the other side of the ball, the hosts have the fourth-best defensive record with only 18.8 points allowed on average, which is a big improvement from the 23.1 points they gave up last year.
The Ravens began the year backed as a threat for the AFC Championship. While it’s still early days, the hosts remain on course to reach this target. They hold the fifth seed in the AFC Conference and will seek to both maintain and improve their seeding as the regular season winds down.
Atlanta Falcons Form
The Falcons aren’t in the best of shape at the moment after slipping to a 21-18 defeat to the New Orleans Saints last time out. To add insult to injury, they’ve lost their last five road matches. Their overall record for the last ten games is 3-7.
Unfortunately, the Falcons offense hasn’t performed to its usual standards of late. In the last five matches, the offensive unit has only put up 17.8 points on average, which is someway off this season’s tally of 21.9 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 21.6 points in the previous five outings, which is less than the 23.8 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
2021 was a year to forget for the Falcons. The visitors failed to reach the playoffs, having finished third in the NFC South at 7-10, and are expected to miss the NFL postseason again, having gone 5-9 so far in the current campaign.
Ravens VS Falcons H2H history
The Ravens came away with a 16-26 win in their latest encounter with the Falcons, which took place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Victory has gone the Ravens’ way six times in their past ten meetings with the Falcons. The hosts are favorites to add another win to this haul, with the oddsmakers laying a home win at -311. This implies a 76% winning chance for the Ravens.
One key problem the Falcons have struggled to fix in this series is how their defense has often floundered against the Ravens offense, having allowed 16.6 points on average in the last five matchups alone.