The Buffalo Bills (10-3) play the Miami Dolphins (8-5) at Highmark Stadium on 17th December in Week 15 of the NFL. The two sides face off this week in a divisional matchup that might significantly impact the AFC East race. The Bills are in first place in the division, with a 10-3 record from 13 regular season matches. In second lies the Dolphins, who are 8-5 from 13 contests. As the regular season enters its final weeks, the Bills and the Dolphins are both set for the playoffs and will look to extend their grip on a postseason berth by winning the latest matchup of this series.
Buffalo Bills VS Miami Dolphins Betting lines
Bills VS Dolphins Betting expert picks
Bills VS Dolphins Moneyline
The Bills seem to relish going up against AFC East opposition, especially at the Highmark Stadium. The 5-1 hosts have won four of their last five home matchups against AFC East teams. Odds of -311 suggests they have a 76% chance of adding another victory to their haul in Week 15. On the other side, the Dolphins are the clear underdogs at +250. The visitors are currently 2-3 SU on the road after losing three of their past five road trips.
Bills VS Dolphins Spread
The Bills are favored by -7.0 points against the Dolphins in the Week 15 betting lines. This leaves them heavy favorites to win Saturday’s matchup outright. In the last five games between the Bills and Dolphins, the average winning margin was 10.0 points.
Home-field advantage usually has paid off for the Bills in this series. In their past five encounters with the Dolphins at the Highmark Stadium, the home side bagged five wins by an average winning margin of 17.6 points. In their previous ten games, the Bills went 4-5-1 ATS overall and 5-3 ATS in the last eight games at home.
On the other side of the field, the Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games on the road. The visitors are 3-5 ATS from their eight most recent road trips, as well as 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Bills VS Dolphins Total
Judging by a points average of 44.48 points from the last 25 matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Bills and Dolphins.
The average total from the last five meetings between the Bills and Dolphins was 50.6 points, more than 45.5—the number set by the oddsmakers for Saturday’s contest at the Highmark Stadium.
In the last three matches Bills played, the total score went under. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the Bills. They are 2-8 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.
The Dolphins, on the other hand, have cashed in on the over in four of their last five games played on the road. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the Dolphins’ past 11 matchups against teams from the AFC East.
Bills VS Dolphins Betting trends
- Buffalo Bills point score went under in their last three games
- Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in their last two games away.
- Buffalo Bills won the last five H2H matches against Dolphins when playing at home.
NFL Power Rankings Week 15 2022, Buffalo Bills VS Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills Form
Form-wise, the Bills are looking strong on the back of four consecutive wins. A 20-12 triumph over the New York Jets last week extended their winning streak, leaving them 8-2 in their last 10 matches overall.
From 13 games this season, the Bills have scored a solid 27.2 points on average. This gives them bragging rights as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses. The hosts also have one of the most stubborn defensive units in the entire league, having allowed just 17.0 points per game this season.
As the reigning AFC East champions, a successful title defense is a priority for the Bills right now. By doing so, they’ll seal a playoff spot and a more favorable tie at home for next month.
Miami Dolphins Form
The Los Angeles Chargers handed the Miami Dolphins a second straight defeat in a 23-17 beating last time out, leaving the visitors 5-5 from their past ten games and 2-3 in the last five on the road.
The Dolphins’ offensive unit has taken things up a notch in terms of points scored. From a regular season average of 24.3 points, the offense has put up 27.6 points on board in the last five matches alone. A below-average defense isn’t what any traveling team wants to hear, but that’s how it is for the Dolphins. The visitors have allowed 24.0 points per game this year.
The Dolphins began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 8-5 from 13 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the away side is to at least maintain or improve on their sixth seed in the AFC Conference.
Bills VS Dolphins H2H history
The Dolphins bagged a 21-19 win over the Bills in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Hard Rock Stadium in September 2022. Victory has gone the Bills’ way 16 times in their past 25 meetings with the Dolphins. The hosts are favorites to add another win to this haul, with the oddsmakers laying a home win at -311. This implies a 76% winning chance for the Bills, according to the bookies.
While the Buffalo Bills averaged 25.48 points, the Miami Dolphins performed an average of 19 points in their 25 most recent head-to-head games.