The Indianapolis Colts (4-11-1) welcome the Houston Texans (2-13-1) over to the Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday in Week 18. Going into this AFC South matchup, the Houston Texans sit fourth in the division with two wins from 16 matches, leaving them two games behind the third-placed Indianapolis Colts. The Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans may be out of the playoff hunt, but a win here could be just the boost they need to go out on a high note.
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans Betting lines
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans Betting expert picks
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans Moneyline
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off six-straight losses heading into this Week 18 matchup. The hosts are 2-5-0 at the Lucas Oil Stadium and 4-11-1 for the season itself. The Houston Texans, meanwhile, are the clear +125 underdogs. That said, they’ve lost just one of their last five road trips to AFC South teams and their two victories this season both came away from home.
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans Spread
Oddsmakers favor the Indianapolis Colts to win Sunday’s game, but not by much. The hosts open up as 2.5-point favorites over the Houston Texans. Considering the average winning margin in the past five contests of this series was 8.2 points, a one-score game does seem the smart play here.
Going against the spread with the Indianapolis Colts hasn’t been a smart move of late, with the team failing to cover in four of the previous five games. The hosts are also 4-5 ATS in the past nine games at home and 3-7 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The past 11 games against AFC South opposition saw the Houston Texans end up 7-4 ATS. During that span, the offense produced 16.5 points per game and the defense allowed an average of 20.7 points. The visitors are 5-4 ATS from their nine most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans Total
The last ten head-to-head games saw an average of 43.2 points. Based on this stat alone, the total may end somewhere between 40 and 45 points when the Houston Texans visit the Indianapolis Colts.
The total for this Week 18 matchup at the Lucas Oil Stadium is 38.0 points, which is under the 39.6-point average seen in their last five meetings between the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans – but not by much either way.
In four of the last five games involving the Indianapolis Colts, the total went over. Meanwhile, the last five Indianapolis Colts home games went over two times, leaving the home side with an overall 5-5 record from their last ten contests in the over/under market.
On average, the Houston Texans have seen 40.3 points go on board during their past ten matches and 45.2 points in their last five contests on the road. The under market has paid out as the winning bet in each of the Houston Texans’ last ten games.
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans Betting trends
- Indianapolis Colts have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
- In four of Indianapolis Colts’ last five games, the total went over
- Indianapolis Colts won the last three H2H matches against Houston Texans when playing at home.
NFL Power Rankings Week 18 2022, Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts Form
The Indianapolis Colts were dealt a tough blow last week when they lost 38-10 to the New York Giants. The defeat extended their losing streak to six games, leaving their overall record for the past 10 games at 1-9.
Putting points on board clearly isn’t where the Indianapolis Colts’ A-game lies. The offense is one of the worst in the league, averaging 16.1 points per game this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has struggled to match last season’s ninth-place finish in the defensive rankings, giving up 24.7 points on average in all outings.
Unfortunately, the Indianapolis Colts are already eliminated from playoff contention. While expectations weren’t high going into this regular season, the 4-11-1 hosts are already down and out. Locking onto a strong pick in the NFL draft order is the best they can hope for now.
Houston Texans Form
The Houston Texans made a swift return to losing ways last time out by slipping to a 3-31 defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars, leaving them 1-9 from the past ten games overall and 1-4 in the last five on the road.
The Houston Texans’ offense has been abysmal all season. It has put up just 16.1 points per game and they saw no improvement in the last five matches, which produced an average of 16.6 points. On the other side, the defense has struggled to contain opposing offenses, giving up 24.3 points per game this year.
The Houston Texans have already been eliminated from playoff contention—a fact that’s all too obvious given that they have lost 13 of their 16 regular season games. Getting a strong pick in next year’s NFL draft is the best they can hope for now.
Indianapolis Colts VS Houston Texans H2H history
While moneyline bettors were left with no winnings when the Indianapolis Colts last faced the Houston Texans in September 2022, the total did go over 38.0 points. The match itself ended in a rare 20-20 tie at the NRG Stadium. Playing the Indianapolis Colts on the road has often proved to be an experience to forget for the Houston Texans, especially in their last five visits, which saw them fall to defeat four times.
The Indianapolis Colts tallied 26.1 points on average per game from their ten most recent head-to-head games against the Houston Texans. The latter managed an average of 17.1 points in comparison.